September 2020 Month End Sales & Listing Stats
The resale housing market is helping to lead us out of the Great Suppression – now who would have thought that would be the case when we dived into the dark days back in March. Certainly not CMHC – the Canadian Mortgage Housing Corporation after they tried to convince everyone there would be a decline in activity and prices. And I’m sure our provincial government is glad CMHC was wrong as they take in the benefits of the property transfer tax revenue these sales generated – not to mention the ancillary economic benefits that come from the sale of homes. This was a month for the record books – highest sales for the month of September on record. And yes, there were almost a record number of new listings that came on the market, but given the lack of properties that have been available, this was and is still needed to contain run away price growth.
There were 3,741 properties sold of all types in Greater Vancouver in September this year compared with 3,122 sold last month, 2,363 sales in September last year and 1,634 sold in September 2018. It was the highest amount of sales for the month of September on record in Greater Vancouver second to 3,632 in 2009. It is safe to say we are well beyond COVID-19 pent up demand; this is a housing market that is carrying itself and there are many factors to consider in looking at what the future holds for it.
Total sales in September were 55 per cent above the ten-year average for the month, compared to 21 per cent above the ten-year average in August. Looking at the different types of properties, detached home sales were up 77 per cent year over year (55 per cent in August), townhouses up 72 per cent year over year (51 per cent in August), apartments up 36 per cent year over year (19 per cent in August). Detached homes made up 36 per cent of all sales, while townhomes made up 20 per cent and apartments 44 per cent – consistent with August. Total active listings for apartments are up 20 per cent year over year, and active listings for townhouse and detached homes are down 9 per cent and 21 per cent respectively year over year.
There continues to be discussion about the apartment market in downtown Vancouver and the increase in active listings. While there has been an increase in the number of apartments for sale, we are coming off extreme lows in 2017 which lead to price increases during that time. There is still less than half the number of active listings than there were in 2010 through 2012. Working at home and the desire for space has led to some owners wanting to make a move outside the downtown core, but the number of transactions have increased since the spring. Buyers are still active and taking advantage of an increase in choice. Market cycles do happen, and a shift to detached homes is one of them, especially in light of price declines in recent years in the detached market.
2020 Average Daily Sales and Listings in Greater Vancouver by Week:
First two weeks of March – 253 new listings, 138 sales
Last two weeks of March – 167 New Listings, 98 Sales
April – 120 new listings, 56 sales
May – 189 new listings, 75 sales
June – 274 new listings, 115 sales
July – 274 new listings, 147 sales
August 4 to 7 – 337 new listings, 151 sales
August 10 to 14 – 282 new listings, 140 sales
August 17 to 21 – 298 new listings, 171 sales
August 24 to 28 – 279 new listings, 164 sales
August 31 to September 4 – 275 new listings, 162 sales
September 8 to 11 – 379 new listings, 171 sales
September 14 to 18 – 315 new listings, 184 sales
September 21 to 25 – 295 new listings, 180 sales
There was an increase in the number of new listings in September, which was 25 per cent higher than the ten-year average for this month. As a result, at the end of September there were 13,790 properties for sale, compared to 13,511 at the end of August but still less than the 14,242 available at the end of September 2019 – a 3 per cent reduction in the number of homes available year-over-year. The rate of increase in active listings slowed in September and will likely continue to do so moving through the fall.
While we look to the reminder of 2020 and a fall full of anxiety on where COVID-19 will take us, there is still a lot to be positive about. Yes, government debt has grown as stimulus and support is being injected into our economy but that’s what governments are supposed to do in natural disasters. When the lockdown started, savings rates were at all-time highs as the ability to spend money was for the most part locked down. But even today after economies opened up, savings rates are higher. And with more savings and all-time low interest rates, people are looking to real estate as a vehicle to put their money into. Not as an investment vehicle but they are buying into the market or upgrading their living situation. And with interest rates likely to be low for the foreseeable future, this equation of savings and low mortgage rates are likely to continue driving the real estate market. But this isn’t just a Metro Vancouver phenomenon – U.K. mortgage approvals are at a thirteen-year high. Many other countries are experiencing the same surge in real estate activity that we are seeing. So perhaps this is not just a temporary normal, or COVID pent up demand, but a new normal. With the economic uncertainty we are experiencing, people are not buying speculatively, they are making moves with an abundance of caution and looking long-term, looking at space and shifting their needs. And these moves in Metro Vancouver are local. But globally, as we saw in 2015 and 2016, there is a shift of putting savings and wealth into real estate. And going forward, a home will be even more important. More so than it ever was before.
“We’ve seen robust home sale and listing activity across Metro Vancouver throughout the summer months,” Colette Gerber, REBGV Chair said, “This increased activity can be attributed, in part, to lower interest rates and changing housing needs during the COVID-19 pandemic. While the pace of new MLS® listings entering the market is increasing, the heightened demand from home buyers is keeping overall supply levels down. This is creating upward pressure on home prices, which have been edging up since the spring.”
East of Vancouver, the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board processed 2,231 sales of all property types on its Multiple Listing Service® in September, an increase of 9.4 per cent compared to sales in August and a 66.1 per cent increase compared to September last year. This was the highest sales for the month of September in the Fraser Valley Board. There were 3,515 new listings in September, a 6.2 per cent decrease compared to August and a 26.9 per cent increase compared to September of last year. September finished with 7,377 active listings, a decrease of 0.4 per cent compared to August’s inventory and a decrease of 7.2 per cent year-over-year. “Our homes have never been more important. Across the Fraser Valley, we’re seeing a trend towards buyers looking for more space and livability in both single-family homes and townhomes,” Chris Shields, President of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board said. “For many existing home-owners and first-time buyers, their buying power is great than it’s been in a long time. Interest rates are very low, people have saved money over the last few months, and they’re choosing to invest it in their most important assess. Sellers are also recognizing that with lower than normal inventory, this is a smart time to list.”
Here’s a summary of the numbers:
Greater Vancouver: Total Units Sold in September was 3,741 – up from 3,122 (20%) in August 2020, up from 2,363 (58%) in September 2019, up from 1,634 (129%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 13,790 compared to 14,242 (down 3%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 10% compared to August 2020, up 32% compared to September 2019 and up 22% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 4 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions with some areas of balanced conditions) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 57% compared to 52% in August 2020, 47% in September 2019 and 30% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 5.8%.
Vancouver Westside: Total Units Sold in September was 539 – up from 490 (10%) in August 2020, up from 404 (33%) in September 2019, up from 280 (93%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 2,868 compared to 2,444 (up 17%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 12% compared to August 2020, up 36% compared to September 2019 and up 30% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 5 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 40% compared to 41% in August 2020, 41% in September 2019 and 27% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 4.0%.
Vancouver East Side: Total Units Sold in September was 443 – up from 330 (34%) in August 2020, up from 293 (51%) in September 2019, up from 195 (127%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 1,392 compared to 1,295 (up 7%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 13% compared to August 2020, up 43% compared to September 2019 and up 36% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 54% compared to 45% in August 2020, 51% in September 2019 and 32% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 7.5%.
North Vancouver: Total Units Sold in September was 328 – up from 250 (31%) in August 2020, up from 166 (98%) in September 2019, up from 120 (173%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 918 compared to 895 (up 3%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 19% compared to August 2020, up 31% compared to September 2019 and up 8% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 56% compared to 51% in August 2020, 37% in September 2019 and 22% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 9.5%.
West Vancouver: Total Units Sold in September was 98 – up from 67 (46%) in August 2020, up from 51 (92%) in September 2019, up from 34 (188%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 654 compared to 721 (down 10%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 7% compared to August 2020, down 10% compared to September 2019 and down 14% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 7 Month’s Supply (mostly balanced market conditions) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 47% compared to 35% in August 2020, 22% in September 2019 and 14% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 6.7%.
Richmond: Total Units Sold in September was 415 – up from 340 (22%) in August 2020, up from 283 (47%) in September 2019, up from 196 (117%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 1,751 compared to 2,127 (down 18%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 4% compared to August 2020, up 25% compared to September 2019 and up 8% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 4 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 59% compared to 51% in August 2020, 51% in September 2019 and 30% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 4.8%.
Burnaby East: Total Units Sold in September was 41 – up from 37 (11%) in August 2020, up from 22 (86%) in September 2019, up from 11 (273%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 139 compared to 159 (down 13%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were down 14% compared to August 2020, down 1% compared to September 2019 and up 6% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 75% compared to 58% in August 2020, 39% in September 2019 and 21% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 7.2%.
Burnaby North: Total Units Sold in September was 192 – down from 197 (3%) in August 2020, up from 138 (39%) in September 2019, up from 83 (131%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 644 compared to 591 (up 9%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were the same compared to August 2020, up 38% compared to September 2019 and up 42% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 55% compared to 57% in August 2020, 55% in September 2019 and 34% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 5.2%.
Burnaby South: Total Units Sold in September was 173 – up from 130 (33%) in August 2020, up from 119 (45%) in September 2019, up from 82 (110%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 769 compared to 777 (down 1%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 15% compared to August 2020, up 55% compared to September 2019 and up 48% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 4 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 48% compared to 42% in August 2020, 51% in September 2019 and 34% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 2.8%.
New Westminster: Total Units Sold in September was 176 – up from 161 (9%) in August 2020, up from 110 (60%) in September 2019, up from 81 (117%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 540 compared to 502 (up 8%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 11% compared to August 2020, up 47% compared to September 2019 and up 30% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 56% compared to 56% in August 2020, 51% in September 2019 and 33% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 4.7%.
Coquitlam: Total Units Sold in September was 307 – up from 246 (25%) in August 2020, up from 213 (44%) in September 2019, up from 131 (134%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 897 compared to 872 (up 3%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 24% compared to August 2020, up 33% compared to September 2019 and up 12% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 60% compared to 60% in August 2020, 56% in September 2019 and 29% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 6.2%.
Port Moody: Total Units Sold in September was 88 – up from 86 (2%) in August 2020, up from 49 (80%) in September 2019, up from 34 (159%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 282 compared to 226 (up 25%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 41% compared to August 2020, up 75% compared to September 2019 and up 43% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 53% compared to 73% in August 2020, 52% in September 2019 and 29% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 2.4%.
Port Coquitlam: Total Units Sold in September was 114 – up from 103 (11%) in August 2020, up from 78 (46%) in September 2019, up from 73 (56%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 266 compared to 340 (down 22%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 17% compared to August 2020, up 38% compared to September 2019 and up 21% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 2 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 58% compared to 61% in August 2020, 54% in September 2019 and 45% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 8.9%.
Ladner: Total Units Sold in September was 53 – up from 40 (33%) in August 2020, up from 28 (89%) in September 2019, up from 30 (76%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 136 compared to 185 (up 26%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 19% compared to August 2020, up 2% compared to September 2019 and down 29% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 3 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 95% compared to 58% in August 2020, 51% in September 2019 and 38% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 7.1%.
Tsawwassen: Total Units Sold in September was 80 – up from 53 (51%) in August 2020, up from 26 (207%) in September 2019, up from 25 (220%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 308 compared to 301 (up 2%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 5% compared to August 2020, up 47% compared to September 2019 and up 41% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 4 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions in detached homes and townhomes with some areas of balanced conditions in apartments) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 69% compared to 48% in August 2020, 33% in September 2019 and 30% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 9.6%.
Pitt Meadows: Total Units Sold in September was 44 – up from 42 (5%) in August 2020, up from 32 (37%) in September 2019, up from 17 (158%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 100 compared to 111 (down 9%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were up 31% compared to August 2020, up 8% compared to September 2019 and up 28% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 2 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 68% compared to 85% in August 2020, 54% in September 2019 and 34% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 4.4%.
Maple Ridge: Total Units Sold in September was 267 – up from 216 (24%) in August 2020, up from 157 (70%) in September 2019, up from 89 (200%) in September 2018; Active Listings are at 610 compared to 822 (down 25%) at this time last year; New Listings in September were the same compared to August 2020, up 6% compared to September 2019 and up 10% compared to September 2018. Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is 2 Month’s Supply (mostly seller’s market conditions) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 88% compared to 81% in August 2020, 55% in September 2019 and 32% in September 2018. Year-over-year, the House Price Index is up 5.9%.